Assessing risks and vulnerabilities to climate change
2.4 How certain are future climate projections and how do I deal with the uncertainty?
Given the uncertainty associated with climate projections, robust strategies are required for a wide variety of possible future conditions. Dealing with uncertainty in adaptation planning is an important and challenging issue. It requires awareness of the key uncertainties associated with the analysis and an understanding of the quality of the information on which it is based.
Therefore, it is important that the development of an adaptation policy does not assume a single future. It is crucial to identify, prepare for, and practice actions under several future scenarios.
The CLIMATE-ADAPT section on uncertainty guidance provides access to resources covering the following topics:
EU City-specific information
- Urban climate adaptation and leadership
- Elaboration and implementation of a local adaptation strategy or action plan
- Methods and Tools for Adaptation to Climate Change - A Handbook for Provinces, Regions and Cities
- Adaptation Compass
- Urban adaptation to climate change in Europe - Challenges and opportunities for cities together with supportive national and European policies
EU General information