Home Database Research and knowledge projects European Climate Prediction System
Website experience degraded
The European Climate and Health Observatory is undergoing reconstruction until June 2024 to improve its performance. We apologise for any possible disturbance to the content and functionality of the platform.
Project

European Climate Prediction System (EUCP)

Description:

The European Climate Prediction System (EUCP) research project will help scientists and climate information providers generate more consistent, authoritative, and effective climate information.  During this four-year project, the foundations for an operational high-resolution European climate prediction system will be developed, in consultation with a range of potential users and other stakeholders. The project will help overcome the following obstacles in integrating available climate information into planning and decision-making processes dealing with the challenges and opportunities of a changing climate:

  • Gaps between the information which is needed versus the information available. While carrying out assessments, strategies, and action plans, the climate information with the appropriate spatial and time scales is needed but might not be available;
  • challenges in navigating the multiple types of climate data and information available. Different methods are being used on the national level, which fails to provide users who are interested in multinational issues with the consistent regional information they need.

Reflecting the challenges identified, the project will advance the current state of climate prediction and projections for Europe to make them better compliant with user's needs in the following ways:

  • Improving the timescales for which climate predictions and projections are available to align with users' decision timescales;
  • improving the spatial scale of available predictions. This will be possible through the production of new very high-resolution climate simulations (scales of less than 5km), which have never been produced before on a European scale;
  • improving the information that can be extracted from climate predictions and projections, characterizing uncertainty - evaluate models based on their performance and by comparing them to observations;
  • delivering consistent climate information across Europe. The project will produce climate information that will be available at the same time and geographical scale and with the same treatment of uncertainty (its possible outcomes) over Europe. This would improve the many discrepancies between National Climate Projections across the European Member States.

The potential users of the climate prediction system will be involved in the project through active user groups. They will jointly produce information suitable for the activities of European climate services and demonstrate its value in real applications.  Key outputs of the project will include the dissemination and publication of project methodologies and user-relevant data and knowledge.

Relevant to climate change adaptation, the system will be used to co-produce, with end-users, consistent, authoritative and actionable climate information, providing a robust foundation for Europe-wide climate service activities and supporting climate-related risk assessments and climate change adaptation programmes.

Project information

Lead

Met Office, United Kingdom

Partners

Barcelona Supercomputing Center – Centro Nacional de Supercomputacion (BSC), Spain

Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS/IPSL and CNRS/CNRM), France

Stichting Deltares, the Netherlands

Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut (DMI), Denmark

Eidgenoessische Technische Hochschule Zürich (ETH Zürich), Switzerland

Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht – Zentrum für Material – und Küstenforschung GmbH (HZG), Germany

Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Italy

United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization – UNESCO (UNESCO ICTP), France

Internationales Institut Für Angewandte Systemanalyse (IIASA), Austria

Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (KNMI), the Netherlands

Sveriges Meteorolgiska Och Hydrologiska Institut (SMHI), Sweden

The University of Edinburgh (UEDIN), United Kingdom

The Chancellor, Masters and Scholars of the University of Oxford (UOXF), United Kingdom

Kobenhavns Universitet (UCPH), Denmark

Stichting Netherlands EScience Center (NLeSC), the Netherlands

Source of funding

H2020-EU.3.5.1. - Fighting and adapting to climate change, Grant agreement ID: 776613

Published in Climate-ADAPT Apr 15 2021   -   Last Modified in Climate-ADAPT Dec 12 2023

Document Actions