Eurac Research
Alpine Drought Observatory (ADO)
AgricultureDroughtStep 1
JRC
The European Drought Risk Atlas represents a step towards multisectoral drought risk assessment that can support the development and implementation of drought management and adaptation policies and actions. It characterises how drought hazard, exposure and vulnerability interact and affect different but interconnected systems: agriculture, public water supply, energy, river transportation, freshwater and terrestrial ecosystems. The atlas presents both a conceptual and quantitative approach to drought risk for these systems. The conceptual drought risk models (impact chains) are the result of a review of the literature in Europe and consultations with experts to construct visualisations of the most relevant drivers and how they interact to determine risk and impacts. The quantitative estimate of drought risk, based on machine learning techniques, maps drought risk at national and sub-national level in terms of annual average loss and probable maximum losses at specific return periods, both for current climate conditions, and for projections under different levels of global warming (+1.5 °C, +2 °C, +3 °C).
Moves beyond drought-hazard mapping by showing how exposure and vulnerability shape impacts across interconnected European systems. This helps users understand why the same drought can lead to different consequences for agriculture, public water supply, energy, transport and ecosystems. The combination of expert-informed impact chains with quantitative loss estimates makes the Atlas useful for both communicating risk pathways and comparing priorities under different warming levels.
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