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1) Develop an ensemble prediction system based on state-of-the-art, high resolution, global and regional Earth System models developed in Europe, and validated against quality controlled, high resolution gridded datasets for Europe. The prediction system will, for the first time, produce a reliable, objective, probabilistic estimate of uncertainty in future climate on seasonal to decadal and longer timescales. 2) Quantify and reduce uncertainty in the model representation of physical, chemical, biological and human-related feedbacks in the Earth System (including water resource, land use, and air quality issues, and carbon cycle feedbacks). 3) Maximise the exploitation of the results by linking the outputs of the ensemble prediction system to a range of applications, including agriculture, health, food security, energy, water resources, insurance and weather risk management.
Project information
Lead
Met Office, Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (UK) Prof John Mitchell (Chair)
Partners
# 1. Met Office Hadley Centre (UK) # 2. Météo-France, Centre National de Recherches Meteorologiques (FR) # 3. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (including IPSL, LMD, LSCE, LGGE) # 4. Danish Meteorological Institute # 5. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) # 6. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) # 7. Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV) # 8. Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) # 9. University of Bristol # 10. Max-Planck Institut für Meteorologie # 11. National Observatory of Athens # 12. Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) # 13. University of East Anglia (UEA) # 15. Universität Hamburg # 16. CGAM, University of Reading # 17. Agenzia Regionale per la Prevenzione e l'Ambiente dell'Emilia-Romagna, Servizio IdroMeteorologico (ARPA-SIM) # 18. Aristotle University of Thessaloniki # 19. Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre (BMRC) # 20. Société Civile CERFACS # 21. Czech Hydrometeorological Institute # 22. Center for International Climate and Environmental Research – Oslo (CICERO) # 23. CLIMPACT # 24. Consiglio Nazionale Delle Ricerche (CNR.ISAC) # 25. Charles University Prague, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics # 27. Department of Agronomy and Land Management, University of Florence # 29. Deutscher Wetterdienst # 30. Electricité de France # 31. École Normale Supérieure # 32. Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich # 34. Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) # 35. Fundacion para la Investigacion del Clima # 36. Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) # 37. University of Applied Sciences, Stuttgart # 38. Freie Universität Berlin # 40. GKSS Forschungszentrum Geesthacht GmbH # 41. Ustav fyziky atmosfery AV CR # 42. The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics # 44. Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia # 45. The Trustees of Columbia University in the City of New York (IRI) # 47. University of Stuttgart # 48. Joint Research Centre of the European Community – Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen # 49. London School of Economics # 50. London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine # 51. Norwegian Meteorological Institute # 52. Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology # 54. Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center # 55. National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management # 56. National Meteorological Administration # 57. Research Centre for Agricultural and Forest Environment, Polish Academy of Sciences # 58. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research # 60. Societé de Mathematiques et de Sciences Humaines (SMASH) # 61. Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE) # 62. Universidad de Cantabria # 63. Universite Catholique de Louvain # 64. Universidad de Castilla La Mancha # 65. University of Oslo # 67. Lunds Universitet # 68. Universität Kassel # 69. University of Liverpool # 70. Chancellor Masters and Scholars of Oxford University # 73. Université Joseph Fourier # 74. C4I # 75. Universität Bern # 76. Leibniz-Institut für Meereswissenschaften # 77. University of Geneva # 78. Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency # 79. University of Aarhus
Source of funding
FP 6
Reference information
Websites:
Published in Climate-ADAPT: Jan 1, 1970
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