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Socio-economic scenarios as the basis of the vulnerability analyzes for Germany

Description

The three socio-economic scenarios developed ⁠trend⁠, stability and dynamism for Germany represent probable futures up to 2045. They take into account global megatrends, the international shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) of the ⁠IPCC⁠ and Germany-wide projections. The three scenarios were developed at the national level using the PANTA RHEI economic model and then regionalized at the district level using PANTA RHEI Regio in terms of value added, employment, housing, transport, electricity generation and land development. The results are used together with climate scenarios to assess the future effects of climate change in Germany.

Note: this report is in German (Sozioökonomische Szenarien als Grundlage der Vulnerabilitätsanalysen für Deutschland), with a summary in English on page 28

Reference information

Source:

German Environment Agency (Umweltbundesamt – UBA)

Published in Climate-ADAPT Sep 03 2021   -   Last Modified in Climate-ADAPT Sep 10 2022

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