Vulnerability to abrupt climate change in Europe. Tyndall Centre Technical Report 34

The report is structured as follows. The first section provides the introduction to the work. The second section explores in detail the interpretation of “rapid” or “abrupt” climate change, and introduces a classification. Section 3 introduces semi-quantitative characterisations of three abrupt climate changes used as the basis for an assessment of impacts and vulnerability, and Section 4 discusses the assessment of likelihoods for these characterisations. Section 5 summarises the estimated impacts of abrupt climate change in Europe, and Section 6 discusses implications for vulnerability to abrupt climate change. Section 7 describes the implications for developing adaptation strategies. Section 8 explores the implications of abrupt climate change for adaptation.