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Paris Agreement Overshooting – Reversibility, Climate Impacts and Adaptation Needs (PROVIDE)


Overshooting the Paris Agreement temperature thresholds could have serious consequences, especially for vulnerable regions and sectors facing potentially irreversible effects. A full consideration of the impacts and adaptation needs under the overshooting scenarios thus requires a risk threshold perspective integrating emission pathways, terrestrial system feedback, regional to local impacts and context-specific vulnerabilities. To address that challenge, PROVIDE delivers highly innovative, inclusive climate services that incorporate comprehensive information on impacts under overshoot pathways from the global to the regional and urban level directly contributing to adaptation action.

Specifically, the project aims to: 1) Create global multi-scenario, multi-sectoral climate information that integrates and quantifies impacts across scales using new climate and impact indicators; 2) Assess the uncertainties and feedbacks of the climate system and the (ir) reversibility of climate impacts to provide comprehensive risk assessment of overshooting; 3) Develop a generalized overshoot proofing methodology for adaptation strategies to enhance adaptation actions in response to overshoot risks; 4) Identify and prioritize overshoot adaptation needs in the four highly complementary case study regions; 5) Integrate all project outcomes into the PROVIDE Climate Service Dashboard.

Project information


Humboldt University of Berlin


Climate Analytics GMBH, Germany

Vlaamse Instelling Voor Technologisch Onderzoek N.V., Belgium

Buur Bureau Voor Urbanisme, Belgium

Cicero Senter for Klimaforskning, Norway

Commissariat al Energie Atomique et aux Enrgies Alternatives, France

Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique CNRS, France

Associacao Para a Inestigacao e Desenvolvimento de Ciencias, Portugal

Weather and Cliate Services (Private) Limited, Pakistan

Eidgenoessische Technische Hochschule Zuerich, Switzerland

Universitaet Bern, Switzerland

Imperial College of Science Technology and Medicine, United Kingdom

Universitaet Innsbruck, Austria

Univesity of east Anglia, United Kingdom

Arttic Innovation GMBH, Germany

Nordlandsforskning AS, Norway

University of British Columbia, Canada

Universitaet Hamburg, Germany 


Source of funding

H2020-EU.3.5. - SOCIETAL CHALLENGES - Climate action, Environment, Resource Efficiency and Raw Materials, H2020-EU.3.5.1. - Fighting and adapting to climate change

Published in Climate-ADAPT Aug 05 2022   -   Last Modified in Climate-ADAPT Sep 10 2022

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