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DownScaling CLImate imPACTs and decarbonisation pathways in EU islands, and enhancing socioeconomic and non-market evaluation of Climate Change for Europe, for 2050 and Beyond


The warming of the climate system is unequivocal and continued emission of greenhouse gases will cause further warming and changes. Islands are particularly vulnerable to Climate Change (CC) consequences but the coarse spatial resolution of available projections makes it difficult to derive valid statements for islands. Moreover, science-based information about the economic impacts of CC in marine and maritime sectors is scarce, and current economic models lack of solid non-market assessment. Policy makers must have accurate information on potential impact chains and on the costs and benefits of possible strategies to implement effective measures.

SOCLIMPACT models downscaled CC effects and their socioeconomic impacts in European islands for 2030–2100, in the context of the EU Blue Economy sectors, and assess corresponding decarbonisation and adaptation pathways, complementing current available projections for Europe, and nourishing actual economic models with non-market assessment.

Project objectives are achieved by:

  • Developing a thorough understanding on how CC will impact the EU islands located in different regions of the world.
  • Contributing to the improvement of the economic valuation of climate impacts by adopting revealed and stated preference methods.
  • Increasing the effectiveness of the economic modelling of climate impact chains, through the implementation of an integrated methodological framework (GINFORS, GEM-E3 and non-market indicators).
  • Facilitating climate-related policy decision making for Blue Growth, by ranking and mapping the more appropriate mitigation and adaptation strategies.
  • Delivering accurate information to policy makers, practitioners and other relevant stakeholders.

SOCLIMPACT provides advances in the economic valuation of climate-induced impacts, and in climate and economic models, allowing downscaled projections of complex impact chains, and facilitating the resilience capacity of these vulnerable territories.

Universidad De Las Palmas De Gran Canaria Spain
Instituto Tecnologico De Canarias, S.A. Spain
Universitat De Les Illes Balears Spain
Centro Tecnologico De Ciencias Marinas Spain
Universidad De Castilla - La Mancha Spain
Creativica Spain
Gesellschaft Fuer Wirtschaftliche Strukturforschung Mbh Germany
Tourisme Territoires Transports Environnement Conseil  France
Ramboll France Sas France
Agencia Regional Da Energia Eambiente Da Regiao Autonoma Da Madeira Portugal
The Cyprus Institute Cyprus  
 Ethniko Asteroskopeio Athinon Greece
Osservatorio Turistico Delle Isole Europee Italy
Anci Sardegna Italy
Aquabiotech Limited Malta
Interfusion Services Limited Cyprus 
Agenzia Nazionale per le Nuove Tecnologie, l'Energia e lo Sviluppo Economico Sostenibile Italy
Universite des Antilles France
E3-Modelling AE Greece
Baltic Environmental Forum Deutschland EV Germany
Alma Mater Studiorum - Universita' di Bologna Italy
Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneosui Cambiamenti Climatici Italy
Fciencias.Id - Associacao Para A Investigacao E Desenvolvimento De Ciencias Portugal
Johann Wolfgang Goethe-Universitatfrankfurt Am Main Germany
KRITI Greece