Translating climate data into power plants operational guidance (CLIM2POWER)

Description:

CLIM2POWER aims to develop a climate service that integrates seasonal weather forecasts into decision making in the electricity sector. In particular, it assesses the value of current and possible future seasonal forecasts for an improved management of power generation portfolios. For that purpose, cutting-edge seasonal forecasts are down-scaled and coupled with stochastic power system models to estimate the impact of seasonal weather conditions on renewable electricity generation and electricity and district heating demand. Subsequently, the project derives optimal operation schedules for the electricity sector, such as optimal operation of hydro-storage and of fossil fuel acquisition, applying a set of existing bottom-up, technology rich power system models. Possible impacts from changing renewable supply and demand on the power-system as a whole and electricity prices are also derived.

While the final climate service is going to be made available for the whole Europe, CLIME2POWER additionally develops four regional case studies in Portugal, France, Sweden and in the German-Austrian market zone to validate the European model. Additionally, the case studies put a different focus on markets and market prices, dam operation restrictions due to ecological regulation in the river systems, and flexibility options in the power sector. As climate change may introduce changes to the seasonality of climate processes, future climate scenarios are assessed in an additional sensitivity analysis.

The climate service is developed together with important stakeholders from the sector in an iterative process and is made available as public web service online. In particular power generation & trading companies, power system operators & regulators, power consumers, and water managers are going to directly profit from the outcome of our project.

Project information

Lead

Associação para a Inovação e Desenvolvimento da FCT, Portugal

Partners

Fundação da Faculdade de Ciências da Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal; EDP-Eletricidade de Portugal, Portugal; Deutscher Wetterdienst, Germany; Institute for Sustainable Economic Development, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Austria, Institute of Water Management, Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Austria; Wien Energie, Austria; ARMINES Centre de Mathématiques Appliquées de Mines ParisTech, France; ACTeon, France; ARMINES Centre Observation, Impacts, Energie de MINES ParisTech, France; Centre for Marine and Renewable Energy (MaREI), Environmental Research Institute, University College Cork, Ireland; Energy Science division, Luleå University of Technology, Sweden.

Source of funding

JPI Climate